Friday, July 17, 2009

Economist: Expect Inverted Recovery

Julie Crawshaw
July 14, 2009
Economist Ed Yardeni predicted we will have an inverted head-and-shoulders recovery, and said the first shoulder has already happened.

Yardeni said the first shoulder of the formation came on Nov. 20, 2008, when the Standard and Poor’s 500 index fell to the year’s low of 752.44.

The index then rallied to 934.70 on Jan. 6, before tanking to an intraday low of 666 on March 6. Then it rebounded to this year’s high of 946.21 on June 12

“If it holds that level over the rest of the summer, then the resulting head-and-shoulders formation could set the base for the next leg up for stocks,” Yardeni told The Daily Press.

However, Yardeni said that his optimistic technical picture won’t be realized unless the fundamentals cooperate, in the form of an upturn in earnings.

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